Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 123.402074 136.386759 149.745232 164.487388 180.272082 196.638478 214.862687
2024-10-13 104.306274 123.761110 144.789628 169.086767 196.262857 225.601584 259.545782
2024-10-20 86.313383 109.774926 136.366108 168.429914 205.731595 247.451415 297.323576
2024-10-27 72.388780 98.457441 129.364478 168.125567 214.834646 268.714196 334.944163
2024-11-03 64.241946 92.849618 128.153327 173.959128 230.822642 298.109744 382.712105
2024-11-10 56.795402 87.072754 125.894236 177.884056 244.195942 324.473195 427.436969
2024-11-17 50.888969 82.495901 124.493301 182.380382 258.019869 351.439848 473.341272
2024-11-24 46.275029 79.066264 124.103637 187.827157 272.907715 379.852984 521.505442
2024-12-01 38.691991 70.443870 115.803719 181.965921 272.502959 388.580410 544.903750
2024-12-08 33.255964 64.316332 110.351133 179.390017 275.971033 401.980238 574.157124
2024-12-15 29.687311 60.640817 108.045837 180.884296 284.728199 422.233604 612.416381
2024-12-22 27.042603 58.130181 107.197675 184.258543 295.988339 445.874883 655.390732
2024-12-29 25.392114 57.199340 108.791982 191.412543 312.989631 477.944868 710.644045
2025-01-05 23.246585 55.145752 108.449106 195.609259 325.890722 504.767451 759.519361
2025-01-12 20.271505 51.181533 104.686513 194.328046 330.749596 520.601134 793.900777
2025-01-19 17.772544 47.760155 101.500278 193.668750 336.352050 537.451283 829.852784
2025-01-26 16.677661 46.982855 102.713158 199.947520 352.343847 569.093349 886.502803
2025-02-02 15.372577 45.584678 102.703472 204.180678 365.292597 596.607164 937.841615
2025-02-09 14.291792 44.508604 103.146425 209.087876 379.293766 625.773596 991.808577
2025-02-16 13.444611 43.834022 104.243707 215.068507 395.033333 657.657918 1049.988662
2025-02-23 11.181080 39.493661 98.148969 208.566247 391.090395 660.855660 1067.795844
2025-03-02 9.606085 36.509195 94.343683 205.703879 392.640220 671.945768 1096.775053
2025-03-09 8.654801 34.945104 93.180781 207.348549 401.331035 693.632708 1141.089522